
By Hans Mahncke | The Federalist
Brennan’s purported intelligence was so flimsy and comically absurd that it only further exposes the fraudulent nature of the assessment.
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has declassified a long-buried House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) report exposing the fraud at the heart of the Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) released in January 2017.
That ICA — produced by the CIA, FBI, and NSA at the behest of President Obama — claimed that Vladimir Putin helped Donald Trump win the presidency. It became a weaponized talking point, casting a shadow over Trump’s legitimacy before he even took office.
The HPSCI launched its investigation into the ICA on January 25, 2017, just days after Trump was sworn in. Then-Chairman Devin Nunes, who would later play a pivotal role in unraveling the Russiagate hoax, apparently sensed something was deeply wrong. But the committee’s investigation was met with years of stonewalling and obstruction from intelligence agencies. The report just released dates back to September 2020 but was kept from the public until now. Only now, under Gabbard’s leadership, is it finally seeing the light of day.
And it is explosive.
The report doesn’t just detail flaws in tradecraft or analytic sloppiness. It documents an intentional fraud — driven by then-CIA Director John Brennan — designed to paint Trump as a Russian asset and delegitimize his presidency.
The ICA’s Purpose Was Always Political
The ICA’s core purpose was to tie Trump’s victory to Putin, and the HPSCI report makes clear that this narrative was constructed from day one. Crucially, it was not supported by actual intelligence.
One key document, newly released by Gabbard just days ago, serves as a critical anchor: the draft President’s Daily Brief (PDB) from Dec. 8, 2016. It stated that Russian activity was “probably intended to cause psychological effects, such as undermining the credibility of the election process and candidates.” Notably, it did not assess that Putin preferred Trump.
Yet, as the new HPSCI report reveals, President Obama had already ordered the creation of the ICA two days earlier, on Dec. 6, before the PDB, and before any intelligence concluded that Putin had a preference. The conclusion came first. The intelligence was bent to match it.
Brennan’s Four Fabrications
To justify the ICA’s conclusion that Putin wanted Trump to win, Brennan pushed four specific claims into the document, despite strenuous objections from intelligence professionals. The HPSCI report notes that no previous CIA director had ever overruled senior analysts on basic factual grounds in this way.
1. The Single-Source ‘Fragment‘
The first was a snippet from a lone HUMINT (human intelligence) source, with an anti-Trump bias who claimed: “Putin had made this decision [to leak DNC emails] after he had come to believe that the Democratic nominee had better odds of winning the U.S. presidential election, and that [candidate Trump], whose victory Putin was counting on, most likely would not be able to pull off a convincing victory.”
As one senior CIA officer told HPSCI staff, “We don’t know what was meant by that,” and “five people read it five ways.” CIA officers also admitted: “We don’t have direct information that Putin wanted to get Trump elected.”
The HPSCI report offers several alternative explanations, including that “counting on” may have simply meant “expected,” or that the reference was possibly to Trump securing the Republican nomination, not the presidency. The ICA also failed to mention that the exact circumstances under which the source’s subsource obtained the information were unclear, nor was it established whether the statement reflected the subsource’s own opinion. It also did not mention that the sources’ motivations “were in part driven by a strong dislike for Putin and his regime, and that the source had an anti-Trump bias.” Despite this bias, the source never actually said that Putin preferred Trump. Yet Brennan used this vague, unverified snippet as a cornerstone of the ICA’s central claim.
The New York Times has now confirmed, without explicitly naming him, what had long been an open secret among Russiagate researchers that Brennan’s supposed super source was Oleg Smolenkov. According to Dmitry Peskov, press secretary to the Russian president, Smolenkov was a low-level staffer in the presidential administration until 2016 or 2017 and had no direct contact with Putin. Yet for feeding Brennan a vague snippet suggesting Putin’s supposed preference for Trump, Smolenkov appears to have been rewarded with a U.S. green card and a comfortable home in Northern Virginia — where he allegedly lived openly, under his real name, and apparently without much fear of Russian retaliation.
2. The Anonymous Ukrainian Tip
The second of Brennan’s tips was even flimsier: Brennan ordered inclusion of information from an anonymous email claiming Russia planned engagement with the Trump campaign as far back as February 2016. There was zero evidence that the Trump team ever reciprocated or was even aware of such plans.
What the ICA did not disclose was that the tip came from a Ukrainian intelligence source with known anti-Trump bias. In fact, at the time, the Ukrainian government was openly hostile to Trump, with top officials publicly attacking him.
While much of the information on Ukrainian sourcing is redacted in the newly released HPSCI report, one paragraph lets “Kiev” slip through. The date is also revealing. In January 2016, a delegation of Ukrainian officials met with Obama administration figures, including later Ukraine impeachment “whistleblower” Eric Ciaramella. According to Ukrainian participant Andrii Telizhenko, the meeting focused on targeting Trump, specifically by pushing connections between Trump, Paul Manafort, and Russia to benefit Hillary Clinton.
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