Warning signs were there that Assad’s grip in Syria was faltering

By Mike Brest | Colorado Politics via The Washington Examiner

There were indications that Bashar Assad’s regime could struggle to maintain its grip on power in Syria — but the military assault that ended his family’s more than 50-year reign happened much faster than some experts expected.

Assad relied on allies to maintain power during the civil war that commenced more than a decade ago, but when his forces were faced with a new threat starting in late November, they were on their own. Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia did not come to his aid, though Moscow did purportedly allow him to seek refuge there.

The U.S. intelligence community often conducts assessments to determine a military’s “will to fight,” though it’s not an exact science. Poor morale among troops, limited pay, and seeing that no one was coming to their aid likely contributed to the demise of Assad’s forces.

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