Polling

The most important stat in a fresh NYT poll showing Trump pulling back ahead nationally

In case you missed Sarah’s post yesterday, a fresh nationwide survey from the New York Times and Siena College shows Donald Trump edging back out into the lead against Kamala Harris — in both the head-to-head and wider field numbers.  In the days immediately following Joe Biden being forced out of the race by his party, this pollster went into the field and found Trump ahead of Harris by one point among likely voters, 48 percent to 47 percent.

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Rasmussen: With growing ideological divide, 41% of Americans say second civil war possible in 5 years

A new Rasmussen Reports poll asked Americans if they believe there is a chance the U.S. sees a second civil war. A large percentage of Americans said they believe that it is not only possible but imminent.

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Likely voters hold pessimistic view toward state’s future, government in poll entering election year

A large swath of voters may be concerned with the direction of the state and with items ranging from tax burden to cost of living and education, painting a pessimistic picture in an election year, a poll conducted in late 2023 finds.

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